Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday. May 1, 2014 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 28, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list shows some good looking plays. However, bulls be selective. The stock market remains trapped in its trading range.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MIC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MIC, based in New York, owns and operates a group of companies with several in the energy sector. Annual revenues: $1 billion. MIC's stock breaks out today from a 14-month flat base. The move comes as the firm reports strong earnings for the first quarter. So far today, MIC is trading a heavy 811,925 shares, four times its average daily volume of 190,000 shares.
TTD highlighted MIC as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web.
MIC's stock spiked higher in the morning off its strong earnings report. (See 10-minute chart)
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the session holding on to the big gain.
The strong finish despite some weakness in the Dow was encouraging.
MIC reported net for the first quarter climbed to 36 cents a share from 12 cents a year ago. The 36 cents matched the Street's expectations. That was good since MIC has tended to come in under Street projections.
MIC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $57 in the prior sessions to as high as $59.79 on Thursday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,078 shares crossed the tape at $58.50. That was up from the prior block at $57.63.
MIC owns, operates and invests in a diversified group of infrastructure businesses that provide basic services.
The businesses it owns and operates include: International Matex Tank Terminals or IMTT which provides bulk liquid storage and handling services at ten marine terminals in the United States and two in Canada.
It owns Hawaii Gas: a full-service gas energy company processing and distributing gas products in Hawaii,
It also has Atlantic Aviation, an airport services business providing fuel and aircraft hangaring/parking to owners and operators of general aviation aircraft at 63 airports in the U.S.
MIC also owns Contracted Power and Energy which controls five contracted power generation facilities in the southwest U.S. and a 50.01% controlling interest in a district energy business.
MIC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating just 3% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500. MIC has lagged because it has been in a long basing pattern.
MIC's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in 2004 and trading around $29. The stock climbed to a peak of 49 in 2007, the peak in the prior bull market. The stock then tumbled down to as low as $1.06 in 2009 due to the bear market.
However, since then MIC has made a tremendous recovery soaring to 59. The push to a new high is very bullish.
MIC's daily chart shows the stock breaking out with an expansion in volume and a widening of the daily trading spread (range from high to low).
That is bullish!
MIC's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish. That shows good strength.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has turned up showing good buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a robust 69% jump in MIC's earnings to $1.35 a share from 80 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 44. That is high, but okay given this year's strong earnings outlook.
For 2015, the Street looks for a 24% gain in profits to $1.67 a share from the anticipated $1.35 this year.
Profits for the upcoming second quarter are expected to soar 433% to 32 cents a share from 6 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 36 cents a share.
Going out to the third quarter, earnings should rise 21% to 38 cents a share from the 31 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MIC for a move to 72 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 56.
TTD rates MIC an average intermediate-term play. One will need to be watchful of the stock.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated Principal Midcap R2 Fund with a 1.7% stake. It was a recent buyer of 15,900 shares.
Also, the 5-star rated Eventide Gilead N Fund was a recent purchaser of 57,600 shares. It has a 0.25% stake.
MIC has 56.4 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 91% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Neutral. No activity this year. Some light selling late last year. Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, down from 5 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Macquarie Infrastructure Co. - (MIC) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SHPG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KFRC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMT - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AFG - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Just a few shorts today, but some interesting plays with damaged fundamentals. Bears can be venturesome.
SGI, based in Fremont, Ca., is a provider of servers, storage and data center solutions. Annual revenues: $666 million. SGI's stock falls sharply today after the company reported a loss for the fiscal third quarter ending in March. So far today, SGI is trading a heavy 1.3 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 250,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted SGI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The company reported a loss for the fiscal third quarter of 64 cents a share compared with a profit of 27 cents a year before.
The loss was greater than the Street expected.
SGI's stock fell sharply in the morning sinking to 10.40. The tock then tried to rally, but it was snuffed out. SGI then continued to work lower into the afternoon hitting an intraday low of 10.
SGI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $12.08 to as low as $10.33
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 19,162 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $10.89. That was down from the prior block at $12.08 on 16,768 shares.
SGI provides servers, storage, and data center solutions targeting data center deployments.
The company's products are designed to provide benefits in the areas of density, power efficiency, thermal management, ease of serviceability, and remote management. Its customers include HPC and federal government.
This fiscal year ending in June, analysts are forecasting SGI will show a loss of 68 cents a share compared with a profit of 6 cents a share a year ago.
SGI's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has rolled over showing heavy selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SGI for a decline to 7.50. A protective stop buy can be placed near 11.10.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SGI - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)