Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks - Monday, May 1, 2017

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, May 1, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Monday, May l 28 2017

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday -  May 1, 2017

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

Monday - May 1, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8

Quality of Breakouts - Average.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Very selective list of breakouts Monday. Bulls be conservative.

Stock market  - Bullish. All major averages remain bullish at all three time sequences.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 14 unit moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Apple Inc. (AAPL) - 146.58, up 2.93 - Breakpoint 145.22

Net to Rise 8% in Fiscal 2017 (Sept.), TTD Targets 162

  AAPL, based in Cupertino, Ca., makes computer, cell phones and other tech equipment. Annual revenues: $215.6 billion. AAPL, a long-term leader in the current nine-year bull market, breaks out Monday from a six-week, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.

  TTD highlighted AAPL as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, AAPL is trading 33.6 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 19.6 million shares.

  AAPL drove steadily higher in the morning and cut across its breakpoint line convincingly

  The stock reached an intraday peak in the early afternoon at $147.20.

  The stock then trended sideways into the final bell.

  Tape Action

  AAPL's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $143.65 in the prior session to as high as $146.96 which came near the close Monday. .

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 426,267 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $145.

  That was up from the prior block trade at 143.65 on 68,808 shares.   

  Business

  AAPL makes mobile communication and media devices, personal computers and portable digital music players.

  The Company sells software, provides services, networking solutions, and third-party digital content and applications.

  AAPL  sells in the U.S. Asia and Europe.

 Its products include Iphones, Ipods, computers and software, cloud services and a variety of related products and software.

Charts

  AAPL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 55% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders have been buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed.

  They have been steady sellers the past few months from $110 to $143.

  AAPL's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from $11.17 back in 2009 to a peak at $100 by 2012.

  The stock then pulled back to $55 in 2013, but then came on again to reach $134 in 2015. Again the stock pulled back. This time to $89 in 2016. However, it came on again and has now reached an all-time high at $146.

  AAPL's daily chart shows the stock advancing from $108 in January to a peak near $145.

  The stock put down a brief cup-and-handle base.

 Monday, it breaks out with a gap move and expanding volume.

  That is impressive.

  AAPL's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.   

Earnings Outlook

  This fiscal year ending in September analysts are forecasting a modest 8% increase in net to $8.94 a share from $8.31 a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 16. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Going out to fiscal 2018, analysts predict a 16% increase in net to $10.35 a share from the anticipated $8.94 this year.

  Net for the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending in March should be up 6% to $2.01 a share from $1.90 a year ago.

  The highest estimate on the Streets at $2.14 a share. TTD sees chances for a "beat."

  AAPL topped the consensus estimate the past three quarters by 14 cents a share, one cent and three cents.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in June should be up 11% to $1.57 a share from the $1.42 the year before.   

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting AAPL for a move to $162 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $141.

  TTD rates AAPL an average intermediate-term play.

Suitability: Average Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Average.  AAPL has scored just modest gains off its breakouts. However, the last two still remain in play. So, there is potential for more on the upside.

Probability - Earnings Response - Average. AAPL has move higher after eight out of the past 15 earnings reports.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Above Average - AAPL has averaged a gain of 4.8%  in May during the past five years. It has moved higher 100% of the time in May. It has fallen an average of 4.3% in June.

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Several interesting bear plays today. Bulls can be venturesome.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Orchids Paper Products Co. (TIS) - 18.50, down 5.85

Reports Loss, Eliminates Dividend, TTD Sees Drop to 14.50

  TIS, based in Pryor, Okla., sells consumer tissue products. Annual revenues: $165 million. TIS's stock falls sharply Monday after reporting a loss for the quarter and eliminating its dividend. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted TIS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, TIS is trading 1 million shares, seven times its average daily volume of 130,000 shares.

  The stock gapped lower in the morning. It touched an intraday low of $18.03 and then trended sideways the rest of the day. It was unable to rally.

  Tape Action

  TIS tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $25.62 on Thursday to as low as $18.11 on Monday.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 14,668 shares crossed the tape at $21.75.

  That was down from the prior block at $24.35 on 12,426 shares (duplicated).

    Business

  TIS reported a loss for the first quarter of 8 cents a share versus a profit of 52 cents a year ago.

  The company also suspended its dividend.

  TIS produces bulk tissue paper, known as parent rolls, and converts parent rolls into finished products, including paper towels, bathroom tissue and paper napkins.

The Company offers customers a range of private label products. TIS sells its products to grocery stores, grocery wholesalers, cooperatives, convenience stores, janitorial supply stores and stores in the food service market.

Earnings:

This year, analysts were forecasting a 20% decline in net to $1 a share from $1.24 the year before.

However, that forecast could come down to around 80 cents a share.

Charts:   

 TIS's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $36 in February to around $22 April. The stock gaps lower Monday with big volume. That opens the door to good chances for more on the downside.

  TIS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock falling 40% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting TIS for a decline to $14.50 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $19.90.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Average. Stock rose 7 out of the past 14 earnings reports.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity -- Average.  TIS has risen an average of 1%  in May. It has surged 7.9%  in June. So, the stock should be watched closely approaching June.

   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)