Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday. May 2, 2014
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday. May 2, 2014 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 28, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list shows some very good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market in consolidation within long-term up trend. (see weekly charts).
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LAZ - ABOVE AVERAGE |
LAZ, based in Bermuda, provides financial advisory services. Annual revenues: $2 billion. LAZ's stock breaks out today from a 5-week, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a six-year high. So far today, LAZ is trading 1.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 908,000 shares. 
TTD had featured LAZ as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout.
The stock moved higher through the morning cutting through its breakpoint. (see 10-minute chart) The stock then trended sideways the rest of the session holding nicely above its breakpoint. 
The stock's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing nicely during the day.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,670 shares crossed the tape at $49.19.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $47.99 on 63,510 shares.
LAZ is an international financial advisory and asset management firm .
The company specializes in producing strategies for complex financial and strategic situations for clients. 
They serve a diverse set of clients around the world, including corporations, partnerships, institutions, governments and high-net-worth individuals.
LAZ's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 52% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500 index.
There was heavy insider selling in March (see red bars on chart).
LAZ's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in June of 2005 and trading around $21.
The stock advanced to an all-time high of $56.90 in early 2007, the peak in the prior bull market.
LAZ the fell back to $20 in 2008 due to the bear market. It rallied to $46 in early 2011, but then slumped back to $19 later in the year.
The stock was lagging the market. However, since then, LAZ has been trending higher. The push to a new multi-year high could bring in more buying.
LAZ's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 38 back in November to a peak near 48 in January. The stock then put down a cup-and-handle base. 
It broke out of the base in early April, but then faded back. TTD set up a breakpoint resistance zone with 49.40 on the top.
LAZ then proceded to put down a short, cup-and-handle base.
Today, LAZ pushes higher and clears the resistance zone.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has broken out to the upside. That shows good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 35% jump in profits to $2.720 a share from $2.01 a year ago. They have been raising their estimates.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 17. TTD sees that as attractive for value investors since the p/e is below the annual earnings growth rate.
Looking out to 2015, the Street projects an 18% gain in net to $3.21 a share from the anticipated $2.72 this year.
Net for the upcoming second quarter should climb 32% to 59 cents a share from 45 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 69 cents a share. So, some are looking for a big quarter. 
The past four quarters, LAZ has surprised nicely on the upside. It topped the consensus Street estimate by 6 cents a share, 21 cents , 11 cents and 14 cents the past four quarters. That is impressive.
Net for the third quarter is projected to climb 37% to 63 cents a share from 46 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LAZ for a move to 60 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 47.
TTD rates LAZ a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Value Fund with a 4.6% stake. It was a recent seller of 251,000 shares.
A key buyer recently was the 4-star rated American Century Heritage Fund which purchased 54,100 shares. It has a 0.69% stake.
LAZ has 129 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 89% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were awarded stock options. No price disclosed. They have done selling this year around $45. Currently, 8 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, up from 3 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Lazard Ltd. - (LAZ) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 11 | 0 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TRN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TLLP - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TPX - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks, but some interesting plays. Bears remain selective. TTD's short from Thursday was Silicon Graphics International (SGI) at 10.07. Today, the stock declined to 9.66 and is working well for bears.
NILE, based in Seattle, Wa., is online retailer of jewelry. Annual revenues: $450 million. NILE's stock breaks down today and makes a 52-week low. The company's quarterly earnings growth will decelerate. So far today, NILE is trading a heavy 299,498 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 165,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted NILE as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.
NILE's stock moved lower in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 31.86 and it was unable to mount an effect rally.
NILE's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $32.75 in the prior session to as low as $32.12.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,941 shares crossed the tape at 32.64. (duplicated)
That was down from the prior block at $3274 on 997 shares.
NILE was setup in 1999 as RockShop.com, Inc. The company is an online retailer of high-quality diamonds and fine jewelry.
The company’s website showcases more than 100,000 independently certified diamonds and styles of fine jewelry, including rings, wedding bands, earrings, necklaces, pendants, bracelets, gifts, and accessories.
It also customizes diamond jewelry with its Build Your Own feature that offers customers the ability to customize diamond rings, pendants and earrings.
This year analysts are forecasting a 14% increase in net to 88 cents a share from 77 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 36, more than double the growth rate. So, it has a high valuation. Earnings growth will slow during the next two quarters. Profits for the second quarter should rise 16% and then in the third quarter just 9%
NILEs' daily chart shows the stock declining from 48 back in December to 33 by February. The stock tried to form a bottom, but today it breaks to the downside.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NILE for a decline to 26. A protective stop buy can be placed near 34.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NILE - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
