Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 30, 2018 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Wednesday - May 2, 2018
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 18
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts Wednesday with some good looking plays. Aggressive bulls can be venturesome.
Stock market - Bearish. Major averages are bearish in the daily and weekly phase. The monthly is still bullish.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bullish, |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MA, based in Purchase, N.Y., provides electronic payment services. Annual revenues: $12.5 billion. MA's stock breaks out from a nine-week flat base Wednesday. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.
TTD featured MA as a breakout recently.
The breakout was triggered by MA reporting better-than-expected earnings for the first quarter.
MA came in with first quarter net of $1.50 a share. That topped the consensus estimate on the Street of $1.24 a share and the highest estimate at $1.34 a share.
So far today, MA is trading 10.1 million shares, more than double its average daily volume is 4 million shares.
MA's stock spiked higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line.
The stock slipped back to the breakpoint line but then rallied into the early afternoon.
It held above the breakpoint through the final bell even though the stock market sold off sharply. That is impressive.
Tape Action
MA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $179.95 in the prior session to as high as $188.
A key bullish block came late on Tuesday when 168,898 shares (duplicated crossed the tape at $180.25.
That was up from the prior block at $179.95 on 13,800 shares.
Then near the close Wednesday a block of 515,910 shares (duplicated) crossed at $185.82.
That was up from the prior block at $185.78 on 16,032 shares.
Business
MA connects consumers, financial institutions, merchants, governments and businesses across the world, enabling them to use electronic forms of payment.
The company allows user to make payments by creating payment solutions and services using its brands, which include MasterCard, Maestro and Cirrus.
MA's consumer credit and charge services enables issuers to provide consumers with cards allowing users to defer payment.
Charts
MA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock rising 55% versus an 11% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers at $51 to $112 a share. They were sellers at $147 to $183 a share.
MA's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $21 back in 2011 to a peak at $100 by 2015.
The stock then put down a long-term base. It then broke out and has climbed steadily. MA has now made an all-time high at $188.25 .
MA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $140 in December to a peak near $183 by March.
The stock then pulled back and formed a cup-and-handle base.
The breakout Wednesday comes with expanding volume and a gap move higher in price. That is very bullish.
MA's CCI momentum indicator is now strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts are forecasting a strong 31% surge in net to $5.98 a share from the $4.58 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 30. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to 2019, the Street predicts a 17% increase in net to $7 a share from the anticipated $5.98 this year.
Quarterly earnings growth should remains strong.
Net for the second quarter is expected to climb 35% to $1.49 a share from the $1.10 the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MA for a move to $225. That is up from $200 when TTD suggested accumulation. A protective stop can be placed near $179.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish. MA has scored some nice gains off recent breakouts. The stock is now in a long-term up trend.
Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish. MA rose 6 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Neutral. MA has averaged a gain of 3% in May but down 3% in June.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
18% |
1/4/2018 |
154.70 |
183.24 |
3/9/2018 |
20% |
7/17/2017 |
127.43 |
154.19 |
11/28/2017 |
36% |
4/20/2017 |
113.30 |
154.19 |
11/28/2017 |
18% |
1/5/2017 |
106.50 |
125.90 |
6/5/2017 |
8% |
9/2/2016 |
98.14 |
105.70 |
11/8/2016 |
13% |
10/28/2014 |
78.01 |
88.77 |
12/4/2014 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Mastercard Inc. (MA) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NANO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MBUU - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CNC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ZEN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - Max
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown shorts as stock market sells off in the afternoon. Aggressive Bears can be venturesome.
UTHR, based in Silver Spring, Md., is a biotech firm working on products to treat cancer, hypertension and other problems. Annual revenues: $1.7 billion. UTHR's stock falls sharply Wednesday after the company reported disappointing earnings. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, UTHR is trading a heavy 892,953 shares, double its average daily volume 351,000 shares.
TTD highlighted UTHR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
UTHR reported net for the first quarter of $3.76 a share. That was below the Street estimate of $4 a share.
UTHR's stock fell sharply in the morning and touched an intraday low of $101.99. The stock bounced up to around $105 and the trend mostly sideways the rest of the day.
Tape Action
UTHR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $111.67 in the prior session to as low as $102.51.
A key bearish trade came late on Tuesday when a block of 15,627 shares crossed the day at $110.82.
That was down from the prior block at $111.67 on 24,030 shares.
Then near the close Wednesday a block of 60,925 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $104.31.
That was down from the prior block at $105.64 on 11,200 shares.
Business
UTHR is working on treatments for cancer and pulmonary arterial hypertension
The company sells an oncology product in the U.S. It is engaged in early-stage development of a number of organ transplantation-related technologies.
Earnings:
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 13% decline in net to $14.44 a share from the $16.51 a year ago.
Going out to 2019, the Street expects a 6% drop in net to $13.58 a share.
Charts:
UTHR's daily chart shows the stock reaching a peak at $152 in January. The stock fell back to around $106 by March. Now, UTHR cuts below key support with a pick up in volume. The pattern is very bearish.
UTHR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 13% versus an 11% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $52 to $65 a share. They were sellers $110 to $112.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting UTHR for a decline to $90 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 111.
Suitability: Average Bears.
TTD's special probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Extremely Bearish. UTHR rose just 2 times after the past 6 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Slightly Bearish. UTHR rose an average of 3% in May but fell 4.2% in June the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UTHR - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)