Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, May 5, 2015 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 4, 2015 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small and very selective. Stock market falls sharply. Many shorts smacked with weak earnings. Bulls be patient and selective.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HDSN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
HDSN, based in Pearl River, N.Y., provides refrigeration services worldwide. Annual revenues: $56 million. HDSN, a small cap play, breaks out today from a 10-week, cup-and-handle base. The move comes on volume of 352,557 shares, almost four times its average daily volume of 89,000 shares.
TTD highlighted HDSN as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The stock is on of the few to breakout Tuesday as stock market falls sharply.
HDSN's 10-minute chart shows the stock pushing across its breakpoint line in the morning.
The stock then trended sideways through most of the day.
Then late in the day the stock spiked higher near the close with a good expansion in intraday volume.
HDSN's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $4.35 a share to as high as $4.50 late in the day.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 7,500 shares crossed the tape at $4.45.
That was up from the prior block trade at $4.38 on 6,700 shares.
Then near the close a block of 5,000 shares crossed at $4.50. That was up from the prior block at $4.46 on 11,302 shares.
HDSN is a refrigerant services company.
It offers products and services, including reclaimed and virgin refrigerants; refrigerant management services consisting of reclamation of refrigerants and laboratory testing.
The firm also handles re-usable cylinder refurbishment and hydrostatic testing services. It can also remove decontamination.
The company's refrigerantside services provide diagnostic services for industrial and commercial refrigeration applications.
HDSN offers its services under the Chiller Chemistry, Chill Smart, Fluid Chemistry, and Performance Optimization names.
HDSN's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 10% gain for the S&P 500 index.
There was some heavy insider selling in March. (see red bars on chart)
HDSN's long-term chart shows the stock tending to be very cyclical. It rose from 73 cents in 2007 to a peak of $3.66 in 2008.
However, it then fell back to 80 cts. The stock tended to find support around $1. However, since 2011, HDSN has been in a long-term up trend. It is in positron to challenge its 18 year high at 5.75.
HDSN's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $3.50 in February to a peak near $4.50 in March.
The stock then pulled back and formed its base.
Today's breakout clears the resistance line.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is modestly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.
This year, analysts are forecasting a profit of 22 cents a share compared with a loss of 2 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 20. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2016, the Street projects a 46% jump in profits to 33 cents a share from the anticipated 22 cents this year.
Net for the upcoming second quarter should jump 700% to 8 cents a share from one cent a year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 9 cents a share.
TTD sees chances for an upside surprise. The company has tended to top the consensus. That is impressive.
Going out to the third quarter, the Street looks for a profit of 9 cents a share versus a breakeven.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HDSN for a move to 5.80 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 4.
The stock is most appropriate for aggressive investors.
TTD rates HDSN a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is Heartland Value Fund with a 7.7% stake. The 2-star rated fund has kept its position stable.
The largest fund buyer was the 2-star rated RBC Enterprise A Fund which purchased 53,600 shares. It has a 0.86% stake.
HDSN has 32.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 45% and insiders 25%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were buyers using stock options at 83 cents to $2.15. They were sellers around $4.26 to $4.30.
Currently, 4 analysts follow the stock and all 4 have a buy, the same as three months ago. HDSN has a book value of $1.36 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Hudson Technologies Inc. - (HDSN) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 10 | 0 | 4 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EL - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SWK - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GTM - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - max
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks today as stock market falls sharply. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Monday was Donaldson Inc. (DCI) at 37.52. It is trading at 35.29 and working well for bears.
SCOR, based in Reston, Va., provides media analytics products and services to publishers and advertisers. SCOR's stock falls sharply today after it reported a wider loss for the first quarter. So far today, SCOR is trading a heavy 1.5 million shares, seven times its average daily volume of 201,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted SCOR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The company reported a first quarter loss of 22 cents a share against a loss of 2 cents a share a year ago.
The stock responded bearishly to the news and fell sharply in the morning and hit an intraday low of 44.40.
The stock then rallied in the afternoon to shave some of its deficit.
SCOR's tape action shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $51.54 in the prior session to as low as $46.04.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,600 shares crossed the tape at $49.27.
That was down from the prior block at $51.54 on 15,087 shares.
SCOR's digital media measurement and analytics platforms include proprietary databases, software, and a computational infrastructure that measures, analyzes, and reports on digital activity.
It also provides audience measurement products that measure the size, behavior, and characteristics of Internet users on various platforms.
SCOR's daily chart shows the stock falling sharply with heavy volume. The move sends the stock below key support and its rising 50-day moving average line.
This year, analysts are forecasting SCOR will show a profit of one cent a share. However, that estimate could come down. In the Prior year, SCOR showed a profit of 55 cents a share.
For the upcoming second quarter, analyst look for a profit of 4 cents a share, down from a profit of 15 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SCOR for a decline to 40 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 49.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SCOR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)