Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks - Friday, May 5, 2017

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Friday, May 5, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Friday, May 5 2017

Ticker Tape Digest

Friday -  May 5, 2017

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

Friday - May 5, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 16

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Large list of breakouts as earnings drive several issues. Bulls can be venturesome.

Stock market - Major averages remain bullish on all time sectors, daily, weekly and monthly.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 14 unit moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

XPO Logistics Inc. (XPO) - 54.52, up 1.87 - Breakpoint 52.98

Net tops Street Estimates, TTD Targets 67

    XPO, based in Greenwick, Ct.,  is a transportation and logistics firm. Annual revenues: $14.7 billion. XPO's stock drives sharply higher Friday breaking out from a 10-week, cup-and-handle base. The move was sparked by better than expected quarterly earnings.

 The stock is now close to topping its all-time high made earlier this year at $54.70.

  TTD featured XPO Thursday as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout.

  Friday, XPO does it!

  So far today, XPO is trading a heavy 3.1 million shares, almost triple its average daily volume of 1.4 million shares.

  After Wednesday's close, XPO came in with third quarter earnings of 17 cents a share, excluding non-recurring items.

  That beat the Street estimate of 13 cents a share.

  The stock has a beta of 2.0 versus 1.0 for the stock market. That means XPO is twice as volatile as the stock market.

  Friday, XPO drove higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line. (see 10-minute chart)

  The stock reached an intraday peak of $54.53. It trended sideways through the afternoon not giving any ground. That is impressive.   

  Tape Action

  XPO's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $52.51 in the prior session to as high as $54.52 Friday.

 A key bullish trade came Iate on Thursday when a block of 53,939 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $52.65.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $52.51 on 41,500 shares.

   The stock closed strong Friday with a block of 58,603 shares (duplicated) crossing at $54.52.

  That was up sharply from the prior block at $54.18 on 8,271 shares.

  Business

  XPO provides supply chain solutions.

  The company operates in two segments: Transportation and Logistics.

  The transportation unit moves by mostly truck raw materials, parts and finished goods. Its services include freight brokerage, last mile, expedite, intermodal, less-than-truckload, full truckload and global forwarding services.

  Its freight brokerage, last mile, expedite and global forwarding are all non-asset or asset-light businesses.

  They provide customized solutions, e-commerce fulfillment and reverse logistics, as well as warehousing and distribution solutions. 

  Charts

  XPO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 108% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.

  The stock has tended to perform well after reporting earnings. It did that this week!

  Insiders have not been selling in recent months. They have been light buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed.

  XPO's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $2.52 in 2009 to a peak at $50.95 by 2015.

  That is adjusted for a reverse 1-for-4 stock split.

  The stock then fell back to $18.04 in early 2016 due in part to the decline in market.

  XPO has since made a strong comeback

  XPO's daily chart shows the stock peaking near $53 in February.

  It then pulled back to $45 and proceeded to form a double bottom or "W" base.

  After a strong up move on Thursday, XPO drives higher breaking out of the base.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.

    Earnings

   Net for 2017 is expected to surge 80% to $1.80 a share from $1 a share the year before.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 29. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.

  Going out to 2018, the Street projects a 56% jump in net to $2.81 a share from the anticipated $1.80 this year.

   Quarterly earnings growth for the next two quarters should show an acceleration. That is bullish.

  Net for the second quarter is expected to be up 29% to 54 cents a share from 42 cents the year before.

  Then in the third quarter profits should leap 43% to 59 cents a share from 41 cents the year before.   

  Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting XPO  for a move to $67,  A protective stop can be placed near $50.

 TTD rates XPO a good intermediate-term play with a lot depending on future earnings growth.

  Suitability:  Aggressive Bulls.   

                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success -  Average.   XPO has scored some good gains off its breakouts at times. Its basing patterns tend to be long.

Probability - Earnings Response - Average.  XPO has moved higher 8 out of the past 13 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success -  Average.  XPO has averaged a loss of 1.7%  in May, but a 1.1% gain in June and a big 13% gain in July.

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Large list of breakdown stocks as several stocks disappointed on the bottom line. Bears can be venturesome.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

National Cinemedia Inc. (NCMI) - 8.66, down 3.05

Reports Wider Loss, TTD Sees Decline to 6.40

  NCMI, based in Centennial, Co., operates a digital in-theater network providing advertising under long-term agreements. Annual revenues: $447 million. NCMI's stock falls sharply Friday after reporting a wider than expected loss for the first quarter. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, NCMI is trading a heavy 3.8 million shares, nine times its average daily volume of 403,000 shares.

  The company reported a loss for the first quarter of 8 cents a share. That was more than he 5 cent loss expected by the Street.

  The stock gapped sharply lower in the morning and fell to an intraday low of $8.34.

  The stock lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day. It was unable to mount any kind of a rally.

  Tape Action

  NCMI's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from $11.83 in the prior session to as low as $8.66.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 28,687 shares crossed the tape at $9.50.

  That was down sharply from the prior block late on Thursday at $11.83 on 20,000 shares.

   Business

  NCMI manages its subsidiary National CineMedia, LLC . It operates digital in-theater network in North America, allowing NCM LLC to sell advertising and certain third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements.

  It is engaged in the sale of advertising to national, regional and local businesses in First Look, its cinema advertising and entertainment pre-show seen on movie screens across the U. S.

 It also sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network (LEN).

Earnings:

  This year, analysts have been forecasting flat earnings at 44 cents a share. However, that estimate could come down.

  Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to be up 9% to 12 cents a share from 11 cents a year ago.

Charts:   

  NCMI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock falling 38% versus a 16% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders have been recent buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed. They were sellers around $15 to $16 late last year.

  NCMI's daily chart shows the stock declining from around $15.50 back in December to around $12 in February. The stock then trended sideways. Friday, the stock gaps sharply lower with big volume. That is very bearish.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NCMI for a decline to $6.40 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $9.60.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Average. Stock rose 7 out of the past 15 earnings reports when there was a significant change. In recent reports, the stock has tended to move sharply.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity -- Below Average.  NCMI has declined an average of 1.7%  in May. Its best declining month is August at 5.9%.  

   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)