Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, May 6, 2016
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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, May 6, 2016 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 2, 2016 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some interesting plays. REIT's breaking out. Stock market starting to stabilize after recent fall.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - POST - ABOVE AVERAGE |
POST, based in St. Louis, makes read-to-eat cereals with the Post brands. Annual revenues: $4.8 billion. POST's stock breaks out Friday from a 10-week flat base. The move comes after the company reports better than expected earnings for the fiscal second quarter ended in March 30. 
TTD highlighted POST as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web.
So far today, POST is trading 6.6 million shares, ten times its average daily volume of 689,000 shares.
POST's stock gapped higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint
The stock reached its intraday peak at 77.99 in the morning.
The stock then backed off during the day and then trended sideways in the afternoon.
POST tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $70.87 in the prior session to as high as $75.10.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,297,700 shares crossed the tape at $75.10.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $70.87 on 41,083 shares.
Another key block trade crossed in the afternoon at 74.02 on 426,600 shares
That was up from the prior block 73.85 on 36,200 shares.
The company operates in four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Michael Foods Group, Active Nutrition, and Private Brands.
The company also produces and distributes egg products, refrigerated potato products, cheese, and other dairy case products, as well as pasta products.
In addition, it sells protein beverages, bars, powders, and gels, as well as ready-to-drink beverages.
The firm makes organic peanut butter and other nut butters, baking nuts, raisins and other dried fruits, and trail mixes; and granola, cereals, and snacks.
The company also makes Post, Honey Bunches of Oats, Post Selects, Great Grains, Spoon Size Shredded Wheat, Oh's, Grape-Nuts, Honeycomb Frosted Mini Spooners, Golden Puffs, Cinnamon Toasters, Fruity Dyno-Bites and other cereals.
POST's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 62% versus a 2% decline for the S&P 500 index.
The chart also shows recent heavy insider buying in February.
POST's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in February of 2012 at 26.95. The stock climbed to a peak of 60.63 by early 2014. The stock then pulled back to 30.94 later in 2014. However, since then POST has trended higher.
The push to a new all-time high is bullish and could draw in more buying by the new-high crowd.
POST's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 50 back in January to a peak near 71 by March.
The stock then trended sideways in a tight flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout is strong coming with a gap move and expanding volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
POST came in with net for the fiscal second quarter ending in March of 87 cents a share. That topped the Street estimate of 46 cents a share.
Net for the upcoming fiscal third quarter ending in June is expected to rise 7% to 29 cents a share from 27 cents the year before.
Overall, the Street has been forecasting POST's net for fiscal 2016 ending in September should soar 158% to $1.60 a share from the 62 cents a year before. However, that estimate could be boosted.
Looking out to fiscal 2017 ending in September, the Street projects a 25% increase in net to $2 a share from the anticipated $1.60 this fiscal year
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting POST for a move to 84 off this breakout.
A protective stop can be placed near 71.
TTD rates POST a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated Fidelity Small Cap Discovery Fund with at 3.9% stake.
It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the one-star rated Hartford Capital Appreciation A Fund which purchased 682,009 shares. It has a 1.2% stake.
POST has 64.1 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 91% of the stock and insiders have 1%.
Insider Activity: Bullish. Insiders have been recent buyers using stock options at $31 a share. They did some selling in February at $63.
Currently, 9 analysts follow the stock, 8 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
POST has a book value of $46.49.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Post Holdings Inc. - (POST) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHCT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TDC - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TFX - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HIW - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 13
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of shorts Friday with some interesting bear plays being hurt by weak earnings.
CPA, based in Panama Ciy, Panama, provides airline passenger and cargo services in Latin America. Annual revenues: $2.3 billion. CPA's stock falls sharply Friday. The stock was downgraded after CPA came in with lower earnings for the first quarter. 
So far today, CPA is trading a heavy 3.3 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 526,000 shares.
CPA's stock gaps lower Friday undercutting key technical support.
The stock worked lower to its low for the day of 50.37 around midday.
The stock then lifted slightly in the afternoon, but still remained off sharply.
CPA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $62.39 in the prior session to as low as $50.80 Friday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 14,399 shares crossed the tape at $54.81.
That was down from the prior block trade at $62.39 on 12,378 shares.
Then later in the morning a massive block of 154,500 shares crossed at $55.02.
That was down from the prior block at $55.07 on 10,000 shares.
The tape showed heavy institutional selling pressure.
CPA offers services within Colombia; and international flights from various cities in Colombia to Panama, Venezuela, Ecuador, Mexico, Cuba, Guatemala, and Costa Rica.
The company offers 360 daily scheduled flights among 73 destinations in 31 countries in North, Central, and South America, as well as the Caribbean from its Panama City hub. It operates 100 planes.
Net for the second quarter is expected to fall 23% to 72 cents a share from 93 cents a year ago. For the year, CPA is expected to show a 2% decline in net to $4.85 a share from $4.93 a year ago.
CPA's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower Friday with expanding volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower indicating clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CPA for a decline to 45 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 55.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CPA - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
