Daily - Bullish Investors - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Monday - May 6, 2019 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 6, 2019 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Monday - May 6, 2019
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10
Quality of Breakouts - Below Average
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts but very selective. Bulls be conservative.
Stock market - Market averages are bullish in all time sectors.
Comment - TTD sees the market a bit more volatile as earnings continue to be reported. Bulls remain alert.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats for Monday - ESTE, DSPG, HRTG, XOMA, DK and TCMD.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JJSF - ABOVE AVERAGE |
JJSF, based in Pennsauken, N.J., produces and sells snack foods and beverages for the food service and retail supermarket industries. JJSF's stock breaks out Monday from a 14-week, flat base.
The move carries JJSF to a new all-time high. That is bullish.
TTD sees more on the upside.
So far today, JJSF is trading 112,052 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 72,000 shares.
JJSF's stock broke out in the morning and climbed to an intraday peak of $165.64 in the morning.
The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
Tape Action
JJSF's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $158.26 in the prior session to as high as $164.51 in the afternoon.
A key bullish trade came late on Friday when a block of 3,805 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $161.48.
That was up from the prior block at $161.18 on 1,219 shares.
Near the close Monday a block of 11,403 shares (duplicated) crossed at $164.45.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $164.25 on 100 shares.
Business
JJSF sells soft pretzels, frozen beverages, frozen juice treats and desserts and stuffed sandwiches.
It also sells burritos, churros, fruit pies, funnel cakes, cookies and bakery goods.
Its principal snack food products are soft pretzels marketed primarily under brand names superpretzel and bavarian bakery.
Charts
JJSF's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 21% versus a 10% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $34 to $81 a share
They were sellers at $137 to $156 a share.
JJSF's long-term chart shows the stock in a steady up trend that is very impressive. The stock has climbed from $46 back in 2012 to $164.
JJSF's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $149 back in January to a peak near $161 by late January.
The stock then put down a tight flat base.
The breakout clears the base nicely.
The stock did show some accumulation prior to the breakout.
JJSF's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullishly.
Earnings Outlook
This fiscal year ending in September, analysts are forecasting a strong 20% gain in net to $4.88 a share from the $4.06 the year before.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 33. That is high given the earnings growth rate.
Looking out to fiscal 2020, the Street projects a more modest 8% increase in net to $5.25 a share from the anticipated $4.88 this year
Net for the upcoming fiscal third quarter ending in June is projected to rise 10% to $1.53 a share from the $1.39 the year before.
The company beat the consensus the past two quarters by 6 cents a share and one cent.
Profits for the fiscal fourth quarter ending in September are projected to be up 16% to $1.41 a share from the $1.22 the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting JJSF for a move to $190 within the next few months.
A protective stop can be placed near $159.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Conservative Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish - JJSF scored mostly modest gains off some of its recent breakouts. The stock is in a long-term up trend. It has a low beta of 0.47 versus 1.00 for the stock market.
Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral - JJSF rose 4 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Bullish. - JJSF averaged a gain of 2.4% in May and a gain of 6.6% in June the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
10% |
6/4/2018 |
144.62 |
158.43 |
7/6/2018 |
11% |
11/14/2017 |
138.04 |
153.36 |
12/20/2017 |
8% |
12/7/2016 |
124.14 |
133.72 |
12/27/2016 |
16% |
10/23/2014 |
97.45 |
113.23 |
1/20/2015 |
30% |
11/27/2012 |
60.66 |
78.90 |
5/15/2013 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating J&J Snack Foods Corp. - (JJSF) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RHT - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANIP - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LHCG - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CTLT - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks. Bears be conservative.
PETS, based in Delray Beach, Fla., does business as 1800PetMeds, a pet pharmacy. Annual revenues: $274 million. PETS's stock falls sharply Monday undercutting key technical support.
The decline was triggered by disappointing earnings.
TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, PETS is trading a heavy 3.8 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 610,000 shares.
TTD highlighted PETS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
PETS reported net for the fiscal fourth quarter ended in March of 32 cents a share. That was below Street estimates of 46 cents a share.
The stock gapped lower in the morning and undercut key technical support. PETS then rallied back to an intraday high of $21.35.
However, it then faded and ended the day below its support line.
Tape Action
PETS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $21.70 in the prior session to as low as $19.71 by the close Monday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 23,779 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $19.92.
That was down from the prior block late on Friday at $21.70 on 27,647 shares.
Business
PETS sells prescription and non-prescription pet medications for dogs and cats.
The company's product line contains around 3,000 stock keeping units of pet medications, health products and supplies. Its products include brands of medication such as Frontline Plus, K9 Advantix II, Advantage II, Heartgard Plus, Sentinel, Revolution and Rimadyl.
It also offers additional pet supplies for sale on its Website which are drop shipped to its customers by third parties.
Earnings:
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 9% increase in net to $1.98 a share from the $1.82 the year before.
However, that estimate could come down. Net for the second quarter is expected to decline 7% to 58 cents a share from 62 cents the year before.
Charts:
PETS's daily chart shows the stock in a down trend and trying to form a bottom. However, it cuts below support with big volume. That is bearish.
PETS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 42% versus a 10% gain for the stock market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PETS for a decline to $15.80 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be place near $20.80.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Bearish. - PETS rose 3 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Very Bullish. PETS averaged a gain of 12.4% in May and a gain of 10.3% in June the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PETS - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)