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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday, May 8, 2008


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

  Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side -  Very few breakouts today. Bulls remain watchful.

Long- term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market Status (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market Status (Weekly) -NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market Status (Monthly) NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

DirecTV Group Inc. (DTV) - 27.74, up 0.73 - Breakpoint 27

Annual Profit Growth to Accelerate, TTD Targets 35

  DTV, based in El Segundo, Ca.,  is the largest satellite television provider in the United States, with 16.6 million customers. Annual revenues: $17.2 billion. DTV breaks out from an 11-week flat base today. The stock hit a new high intraday. That could well bring in more buying on Friday. So far today, DTV is trading 8.4 million shares. Its average daily volume is 10.2 million shares.

  The tape action was a bit mixed during the day. However, TTD's list of big blocks in DTV shows that the price basically trended higher from $26.90 to $27.50. So, it shows that institutions were willing to bid higher during the session.

  The push for the stock came from DTV reporting a 19% improvement in earnings for the first quarter to 32 cents a share from 27 cents a year ago. The company benefited from an increase in subscribers with Latin America especially strong.

  DTV also owns satellite operations in Latin America: 74% of Sky Brazil, 41% of Sky Mexico, and 100% of PanAmericana, which covers much of the region.

 These businesses serve about 4 million customers combined. DirecTV sold its stake in PanAmSat, set-top box manufacturing assets, and set-top box software business in 2004. It sold Hughes Network Systems in 2005.    

  TTD's performance chart shows that DTV's stock has appreciated about 15% the past 12 months compared with an 8% decline in the S&P 500. TTD's long-term chart shows that DTV has been in a long-term basing pattern for about the past year after running up from 14 to 25.

  TTD's daily chart shows DTV moving higher on Wednesday. Today, it clears the base convincingly. The base is nicely formed between 24 and 27. The base is "tight" meaning the price width of the base is small. That is bullish.

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of the chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) was weakening but has since been on the med.

  This year, analysts predict DTV will post a 24% increase in profits to $1.49 a share from $1.20 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 18 based on this year's projected net. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Looking out to 2009, the Street sees DTV's profits climbing 28% to $1.91 a share. So, the outlook is bright. For the upcoming second quarter net is expected to be up just 9%, but then in the third quarter jump 30%.

  Strategy Opinion: DTV's basing work took a long time. That is good meaning the stock is on a good launch pad to move higher. TTD is targeting DTV for a move to 35 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 25. TTD rates DTV a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

  Sponsorship: Good. The top two fund holders both have a 5-star rating. They are Vanguard Prime Cap Fund with a 2.5% stake and Vanguard Capital Fund with a 0.72% interest. The largest buyer lately was 3-star rated Fidelity OTC Fund which purchased 2.3 million shares.

  Insider Activity: Bullish.  A big buyer was Liberty Media Corp. Currently, 13 analysts follow the stock, 11 have a buy, 2 are neutral.



  Stock Performance Chart for One Year versus the S&P 500 index.


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Directv Group Inc. (DTV)
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES  
Volume Expansion   YES
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D     YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship   YES
Total Score 11 0 3

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)

  


Charts of Breakout Stocks



Ticker Tape Digest's

Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Stocks with Strong Projected Earnings Growth

Selections - Friday - May 9, 2008


Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.

One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.


TTD's Breakout Watch List Set up on May 2, 2008

Latest prices are for May 8


Stocks with Gain in blue have surpassed their breakpoint and have broken out of their base.

Stocks with Gain in red have not broken out of their base yet.



Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Stocks - Recent IPOs


Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 10

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral

Bear Side - Good number of breakdown stocks with bearish news. Bears can be venturesome.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Akeena Solar Inc. (AKNS) - 5.47 off 1.17

Loss Widens, TTD Sees Slide to 4

  AKNS, based in Los Gatos, Ca., makes and installs solar power systems for residential and small commercial customers in California, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut. Annual revenues: $32 million. AKNS, part of the strong solar group, takes a dive today breaking below key support after reporting a wider loss than the year before. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, AKNS is trading 2.7 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 732,000 shares.

  The heavy selling showed on the tape too. TTD's clip shows a big block of 124,633 shares crossing in the morning on a down tick to $5.40 from the prior trade at $5.49.

  AKNS came in with a loss for the first quarter of 16 cents a share compared with a loss of 6 cents a year ago. The 16 cent loss was more than the 13 cent a share loss expected by the Street.

 AKNS sells a “plug and play” module designed to decrease labor and installation costs. The firm gets solar components from manufacturers and performs engineering and design work with in-house staff and outside engineering firms. In addition to solar power systems, it provides services for solar thermal or solar pool systems to select customers.

  This year, the Street has been forecasting a loss of 40 cents a share compared with a loss of 52 cents a share a year ago.

 TTD's daily chart of AKNS shows the stock soaring to 17 earlier this year. However, since then the stock has been working lower. Today's gap drop on expanding volume is very bearish. TTD sees the stock as a trading short for aggressive bears. TTD is looking for a move down to 4 within the next few months. The stock has the potential to go even lower.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)