Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, May 13, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 9, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 21
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Paper and Aerospace stocks breaking out. Stock market holds in up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CRTO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
CRTO, based in Paris, provides technology and performance market for internet advertising. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. CRTO's stock drives higher Friday clearing a seven-week flat base.
So far today, CRTO is trading 876,843 shares. Its average daily volume is 517,000 shares.
CRTO's 10-minute chart shows the stock working higher in the morning and then clearing its upside resistance line around noon.
The stock continued to work higher in the afternoon.
It reached an intraday high of 44.27 near the close.
CRTO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $42.80 in the prior session to as high as $44.
A key bullish trade came late on Thursday when a block of 11,739 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape.
That was up from a prior block with the sequence that was up from $42.80 on 3,500 shares.
Then late in the day a big block of 22,322 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $43.96.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $43.94 on 100 shares.
CRTO produces digital performance marketing in France and internationally.
Its Criteo Engine solution includes recommendation algorithms that create and tailor advertisements to specific user interest by determining the specific products and services to include in the advertisement.
The company's Criteo Engine solution also comprises creative optimization, software systems and processes that enable data synchronization, storage, and analysis of distributed computing infrastructure in multiple geographies.
CRTO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 10%. That compares with a 2% decline in the stock market.
One can see some insider buying in March, but also some insider selling.
CRTO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2013 at $36.15. The stock surged to an all-time high of $60.95 in early 2014.
However, the stock fell back to $25.16 in 2014. It then rallied back to a peak of $57.30 in 2015. Again the stock dropped back to $24.23 in early 2016. The stock is now working higher.
CRTO's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 25 in February to around 42 by April.
The stock formed a flat base and broke out in late April. The breakout stalled.
The stock continued sideways for several more sessions.
However, Friday, CRTO rises sharply to clear its base.
The stock's accumulation - distribution line is in a strong up trend. That is bullish.
The CCI momentum indicator is bullish.
CRTO's earnings this year are projected to leap 43% to $1.39 a share from 97 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 31. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Gong out to 2017, the Street looks for a 31% increase in net to $1.81 a share from the anticipated $1.39 this year.
Profit growth for the next two quarters will show an acceleration in growth. That is bullish.
Net for the second quarter is projected to jump 100% to 18 cents a share from 9 cents a year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 20 cents a share. TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise.
Looking out to the third quarter, the Street expects a 291% surge in profits to 31 cents a share from 8 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CRTO for a move to 52 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 40.50.
TTD rates CRTO a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is Fidelity OTC Fund with a big 8.7% stake. The 4-star rated fund held its position steady.
A key fund buyer was he 5-star rated Fidelity Growth Company Fund which purchased 56,900 shares. It has a 0.5% stake.
CRTO has 61.2 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 64% of the stock and insiders 17%.
Currently, 19 analysts follow the stock, 16 have a buy, up from 14 three months ago.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were recent sellers around $38 to $41. They were buyers using stock options at $11.
CRTO has a book value of $8.35 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Criteo SA - (CRTO) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NVDA - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NSA - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CDXC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MRCC - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 7
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Friday, but some good looking bear plays. Stock market rally weakening. Bears can be venturesome but selective.
BITA, based in China, provides Internet content and marketing services for the auto industry in China. Annual revenues: $616 million. BITA's stock falls sharply Friday after reporting disappointing earnings for the first quarter. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, BITA 1.7 million shares, three times its average daily volume of 500,000 shares.
BITA's stock fell sharply in the morning touching a low of 20.45.
The stock then lifted to 21.50 and trended sideways the rest of the day.
BITA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $24.70 two sessions ago to as low as $21.24 Friday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 7,544 shares crossed at $20.80.
That is down sharply from the prior block trade at $22.49 on 5,700 shares.
BITA operates in three segments: Advertising, EP Platform Business, and Digital Marketing.
The firm provides advertising that includes new automobile pricing and promotional information.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a loss of 20 cents a share compared with a profit of 60 cents the year before. The loss for the year may get lifted.
BITA's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key support Friday with big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is now trending lower. That indicates clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BITA for a decline to 17 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 22.80.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BITA - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)