Daily - Bullish Investors - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Monday, May 14, 2018 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 14, 2018 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Monday - May 14, 2018
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 12
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some very good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome.
Stock market - Bullish. All major averages in all time zones are bullish. Long-term, the stock market is in a trading range.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish, |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WTW - ABOVE AVERAGE |
WTW, based in New York, provides weight management products and services. Annual revenues: $1.3 billion. WTW's stock rises sharply Monday and breaks out from a 15-week, double-bottom base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.
So far today, WTW is trading a heavy 3.5 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2 million shares.
TTD highlighted WTW as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
WTW''s stock rose in the morning and cut across its breakpoint line.
The stock reached an intraday high of $79.84 around noon.
WTW then pulled back slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
Tape Action
WTW's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $74.51 in the prior session to as high as $79.30.
A key bullish trade came late on Friday when a massive block of 299,506 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $74.75.
That was up from the prior block trade at $74.51 on 21,400 shares.
Near the close Monday, a block of 45,443 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $78.76.
That was up from the prior block at $78.72 on 8,715 shares.
Business
WTW operates company-owned and franchise operations.
The company's branded products and services include meetings conducted by its franchisees, digital weight management products provided through its websites and mobile sites.
It also sells products at meetings, retail channels and magazine subscriptions.
It operates through four segments: North America, United Kingdom and Europe.
It sells bars, snacks, cookbooks, food and restaurant guides with SmartPoints values, Weight Watchers magazines, SmartPoints calculators and fitness kits.
Charts
WTW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock soaring 210% versus a 15% gain for the stock market.
Oprah Winfrey was a heavy buyer using stock options at $6.97. She was a seller at $58 to $63 a share.
WTW's long-term chart shows the stock climbing to a peak at $86.97 in 2011, but then falling to $3.67 by 2015.
The stock then formed a bottom and has since surged back to a peak of $78.76
WTW's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $48 back in December to a peak at $76.
It pulled back and formed a double-bottom base.
Monday, it breaks out nicely. It did show strong volume in the prior session when it moved higher too.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 73% surge in profits to $2.86 a share from the $1.65 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 27.
Looking out to 2019, the Street predicts a 25% jump in net to $3.57 a share from the anticipated $2.86 this year.
Quarterly earnings growth will accelerate. That is very bullish.
Net for the second quarter is expected to climb 25% to 84 cents a share from the 67 cents the year before.
Then, in the third quarter, net is expected to leap 46% to 95 cents a share from the 65 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting WTW for a move to $105 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near $72 giving it some room.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Extremely Bullish. WTW has score massive gains off its recent breakouts. The stock is in a strong up trend.
Probability - Earnings Response - Very Bullish. WTW rose 6 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Slightly Bullish. - WTW rose an average of 5% in May but declined 2.7% in June the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
13% |
4/20/2018 |
69.34 |
78.76 |
Still in play |
41% |
1/8/2018 |
52.36 |
73.97 |
2/7/2018 |
79% |
6/19/2017 |
28.41 |
50.87 |
11/7/2017 |
171% |
4/25/2017 |
18.77 |
50.87 |
11/7/2017 |
277% |
2/28/2017 |
13.50 |
50.87 |
11/7/2017 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Weight Watchers Intl. Inc. . (WTW) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHDN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NINE - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BURL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MSFT - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts Monday. Bears be conservative.
TTD's short from Friday was Presidio Inc. (PSDO) at $13.27. Monday, PSDO fell to $13.11 and is working well for bears.
ORA, based in Reno, Nev., is engaged in the geothermal and recovered energy power business. Annual revenues: $693 million. ORA's stock falls sharply Monday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees the stock moving lower.
So far today, ORA is trading a heavy 811,763 shares, almost four time its average daily volume of 236,000 shares.
ORA was named as a potential target for securities fraud by a firm led by shareholders.
TTD highlighted ORA as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.
Tape Action
ORA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $56.19 in the prior session to as low as $52.33 Monday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,623 shares crossed the tape at $55.87.
That was down from the prior block the session before when a block of 9,652 shares crossed the tape at $56.19.
Late in the session a block of 26,584 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $52.77.
That came on a sequence that started on an up tick from $52.76 on 963 shares.
Business
ORA builds geothermal and recovered energy-based power plants. The company's equipment manufacturing operations are located in Israel.
ORA also makes products that produce electricity from recovered energy or so-called waste heat. It also constructs recovered energy-based power plants.
Earnings:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 32% drop in earnings to $2.07 a share from the $3.06 the year before.
Net for the second quarter is expected to decline 7% to 54 cents a share from the 58 cents the year before.
Charts:
ORA's daily chart shows the stock peaking around $70 earlier this year. The stock broke down to around 52, tried to base, but Monday undercuts key technical support.
ORA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock falling 8% versus a 14% gain for the stock market.
ORA's insiders were buyers around $20 to $28 in recent months. They were sellers at $58 to $62.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ORA for a decline to $45 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $55.
Suitability: Average Bears.
TTD's special probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Extremely Bearish. ORA rose just 4 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Neutral. ORA rose an average of 1.2% in May but declined an average of 0.7% in June the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ORA - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
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TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD
end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)