Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday, May 15, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday, May 15, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 11, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 9
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market still locked in a trading range.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NCLH - ABOVE AVERAGE |
NCLH, based in Miami, Fla., provides cruise line services. Annual revenues: $3.4 billion. NCLH's stock rises Friday and clears its nine-week base. So far today, NCLH is trading 1.1 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.2 million shares. 
TTD featured NCLH as a potential breakout earlier in the week. The stock was then highlighted in TTD's midsession video show as a breakout on Friday.
NCLH's 10-minute chart shows the stock pushing modestly higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line.
The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day holding its breakout. It closed near its high for the day. That is bullish.
NCLH's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $54.49 on Thursday to as high as $55.36,
A key bullish trade came late on Thursday when a massive block of 24,019 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $54.65.
That was up from the prior block trade at 54.49 on 7,100 shares.
Then late on Friday another bullish block trade came when 14,184 shares (duplicated) crossed at $55.36.
That was up from the prior block at $55.16 on 6,000 shares. 
NCLH is a cruise line operator.
It offers cruise itineraries for the Caribbean, Bermuda, the Bahamas, Mexico, Alaska, Europe, Hawaii, New England, Central America, North Africa, and Scandinavia.
The company markets its services primarily through retail/travel agents.
NCLH's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 70% versus a 12% gain for the S&P 500 index.
The stock has shown a tendency recently to move higher after it reports quarterly earnings. (see performance chart).
Also, insiders have been heavy sellers in the first quarter.
NCLH's stock came public in January of 2013 and traded at $25. The stock rose to a peak of 37 one year later in early 2014.
The stock then pulled back to 30 last year, but since then has been steaming ahead having almost doubled.
The current base shows clear upside resistance at $55. 
The breakout by NCLH Friday just clears the resistance line.
NCLH's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has been a bit weak lately, but is still okay.
TTD sees strong earnings growth being the key driver for the stock.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 34% jump in NCLH's earnings to $2.84 a share from $2.12 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 19. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.
Going out to 2016, profits are projected to climb 35% to $3.85 a share from the anticipated $2.84 this year.
Analysts have recently bumped up the estimate by a few cents.
For the upcoming second quarter, net should rise 33% to 73 cents a share from 55 cents a year ago. 
One will need to be alert to the earnings since NCLH came in slightly under Street estimates the past two quarters.
(See table)
Looking ahead to the third quarter, net should rise 27% to $1.36 a share from $1.07 the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NCLH for a move to 66. A protective stop can be placed near 51.
TTD rates NCLH a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated VA CollegeAmerica New Perspective 529E Fund which purchased 2.9 million shares. It has a 1.4% stake.
Also, the 5-star rated Vanguard Capital Opportunity Fund was a recent purchaser of 630,000 shares. It has a 0.31% stake.
NCLH has 229.7 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 75% of the stock and Insiders 20%.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity lately. Currently, 16 analysts follow the stock, 12 have a buy, up from 9 three months ago. NCLH has a book value of $15.15.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. - (NCLH) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 11 | 0 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TCX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ALR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMBA - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HOLI - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Friday. Stock market mixed and still in a trading range. Bears be selective.
LVS, based in Las Vegas, operates hotel gaming casinos. Annual revenues: $13.6 billion. LVS's stock moves lower today and undercuts key technical support. LVS is part of the weak hotel-gaming industry. LVS's decline was triggered by Barclays lowering its outlook. 
LVS is trading 4.3 million shares. Its average daily volume is 5.2 million shares.
LVS's stock moved steadily lower through the day and closed near its low for the session. That is bearish.
LVS tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $51.76 to $51.10.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 77,473 shares crossed the tape at $51.54 late on Thursday.
That was down from the prior block trade at $51.76 on 13,822 shares.
LVS owns The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino, the Sands Expo and Convention Center, Venetian Interactive, an internet based venture.
The firm also owns the Venetian Macao Ltd., a developer of multiple casino hotel resort properties in The People's Republic of China's Special Administrative Region
This year, analysts are forecasting a 22% decline in LVS's net to $2.79 a share from $3.58 a year before. Net for the second quarter is expected to decline 27% and for the third quarter fall 22%.
LVS daily chart shows the stock declining below key technical support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has been bearish for the past few weeks.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LVS for a decline to 44 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 54.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LVS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
