Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks - Monday, May 15, 2017

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, May 15, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Monday, May 15, 2017

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - May 15, 2017

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

Monday - May 15, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 12

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Good number of breakouts, but very selective with several special situation stocks.

Stock market - Bullish. All major market indicators are bullish in all time sequences. SPX is now breaking out on the daily chart.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 14 unit moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Visa Inc. (V) - 93.23, up 0.50 - Breakpoint 92.90

Net to Climb 18% in Fiscal 2017 (Sept.), TTD Targets 110

  V, based in San Francisco, provides credit card services. Annual revenues: $15.1 billion. V pushes higher Monday to breakout from a five-week flat base. The stock is a long-term leader. TTD sees more on the upside.

  So far today, V is trading 7 million shares. Its average daily volume is 8.3 million shares.

  There were reports that China would be opened up to V and other companies for business. That would be a bullish development.

  V rose steadily in the morning after cutting across its breakpoint line.

  The stock reached an intraday peak at $93.41 in the morning. It then pulled back and trended sideways the rest of the day.

  Tape Action

   V's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $92.72 in the prior session to as high as $93.41 late in the morning

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 31,846 shares crossed the tape at $93.

  That was up from the prior plock at $92.72 on 94,287 shares.

  Near the close a massive block of 2 million shares crossed the tape at $93.23.

  That came on a down tick from the prior trade at $93.27 on 540 shares.  That would indicate institutional profit taking.  

  Business

  V is a payments technology company that connects consumers, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, strategic partners and government entities to electronic payments.

 The company operates through payment services segment.

  V enables global commerce through the transfer of value and information among the participants.

  The company's transaction processing network facilitates authorization, clearing and settlement of payment transactions.

   The company is a retail electronic payment network based on payments volume, number of transactions and number of cards in circulation.

 Its products-services include core products, processing infrastructure, transaction processing services, digital products, merchant products and risk products and payment security.

  Charts

  V's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 20% versus a 16% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders have been active in getting stock options. One insider William Sheedy, an officer bought options at $14.12 on February 6 and sold the same day at $125.37. He made a profit of about $9 million.

  V's long-term chart shows the stock making a low in 2010 at $16.22. Afterwards, V has tended to climb higher in a steady manner. It has held above its rising 14-month moving average. That is a solid long-term up trend.   

  V's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around $80 in January to a peak near $90 by March.

  The stock put down a flat base and broke out in mid-April.

  However, it stalled and formed a "base on top of a base."

  Monday it breaks out.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.

  Earnings Outlook

  This fiscal year ending in September analysts are forecasting an 18% increase in net to $3.35 a share from $2.84 the year before.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 27. That is high given the earnings growth rate.

  The key to V has been in consistent earnings growth.

  Going out to fiscal 2018, analysts predict a 17% increase in net to $3.92 a share from the anticipated $3.36 this year.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in June is expected to rise 16% to 80 cents a share from 69 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate is at 82 cents a share. TTD sees good chances for upside earnings surprise. V has topped the consensus estimate the past six quarters.

  Looking out to the fiscal fourth quarter ending in September, the Street expects a more modest 7% increase in net to 84 cents a share from 78 cents the year before.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting V for a move to $110 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $90.

  TTD rates V a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.

Suitability: Conservative Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Average - V is currently in play on two prior breakouts. It is holding nicely over its rising 50-day moving average line.

Probability - Earnings Response - Average - V moved higher six out of the past 10 earnings reports where there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Well Above Average -  Stocks V has racked up an average of 4.2%  in May the past five years. It has risen the past five Mays.

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 4

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Very few short plays for bears. Stock market continues to hold overall up trend.

  TTD's short from Friday was GIII Apparel Group at $21.47. Monday, GIII falls  to $20.95 and is working well for bears.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Harley Davidson Inc. (HOG) - 54.04, down 1.17

Stock Cuts Below Support, TTD Sees Decline to 46

  HOG, based in Milwaukee, Wisc., produces motorcycles and related products. Annual revenues: 6.0 billion. HOG's stock falls Monday and cuts below key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted HOG as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, HOG is trading 3.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2.5 million shares.

  HOG's stock fell sharply in the morning cutting below key technical support.

  The stock touched an intraday low in the early afternoon at $53.63.

  It then lifted slightly in the afternoon.

  Tape Action

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 7,710 shares crossed the tape at %55.

  That was down from the prior block trade at $55.27 on 15,797 shares.

  Then near the close a massive block of 203,808 shares (duplicated) crossed at $54.04.

  That came on a down tick from the prior trade at $54.045 on 124 shares.

  Business

  HOG produces motorcycles and parts and provides financing.

  The Financial Services segment consists of HDFS, which provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance-related programs to the Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers.

Earnings:

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 1% decline in HOG's earnings to $3.78 a share from $3.83 a year before.

  Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to jump 11%  to $1.37 a share from $1.55 the year before.   

Charts:   

  HOG's daily chart  shows the stock trending to the lower part of its base. Monday, It cuts below key support with expanding volume.

  HOG's  12-month performance chart shows the stock up 20% versus a 16% gain for the stock market.

  However, HOG's performance line has been trending lower.

  Insiders were recent sellers around $57. Earlier this year, they were buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HOG for a decline to $46 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $56.50.

Suitability: Average Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Average. HOG rose 6 out of the past 13 earnings reports.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity -- Bearish.  HOG has averaged a decline of 2.9% in May. It is one of its most bearish months.

   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)