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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, May 17, 2013

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Friday, May 17, 2013

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 13, 2013

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts 2011-2012

Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"

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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - May 17, 2013

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.

Trading Strategies


Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)

Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)

Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 13

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Above Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list showing some very good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market still holds its up trend.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - May 17

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Noble Energy Inc. (NBL) - 121.30, up 3.48 - Breakpoint 117.88

Net to Jump 36% This Year, TTD Targets 145

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NBL  - ABOVE AVERAGE

  NBL, based in Houston, produces oil and other energy products. Annual revenues: $4.3 billion. NBL's stock breaks out today from a ten-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. It cam public back in 1990. So far today, NBL is trading 1.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.3 million shares.

  TTD highlighted NBL as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  NBL's stock rose steadily in the morning. The stock then rested through midday holding its gain nicely. It then rose modestly late in the day. The stock looks to close near its high for the day. That is bullish.

  TTD's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $117.81 on Thursday to as high as $121.30.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 64,578 shares crossed the tape at $118.34. That was up from the prior block at $117.72.

  The final block of the day was the highest in terms of price and volume. It crossed at $121.30 on 72,558 shares. That is a bullish omen showing aggressive institutional buying    

  NBL is the holding company for Samedan Oil Corporation, Noble Gas Marketing, Inc. and Noble Trading, Inc.

NBL operates throughout major basins in the United Stated including the Gulf of Mexico, as well as internationally, in Argentina, China, Ecuador, Equatorial Guinea, the Mediterranean Sea, the North Sea and Vietnam.

  NBL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 48% versus a 28% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  NBL's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from 20 back in 2003 to a peak of 105 by early 2008. It was dragged down by the bear market falling to 30 in late 2008.

  However, since then the stock has been working higher. The breakout to a new high could draw in more buying on Monday.     

  NBL's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 92 back in November to 117 by March. The stock put down an extended base with a shakeout in April.

  It then rallied back to the top of the base, rested and now breaks out.

  NBL's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend and has hit a new high.

  That is good confirmation of strong underlying buying.

   This year, analysts are forecasting a 36% jump in NBL's profits to $6.74 a share from $4.95 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  just 17. TTD sees that as low making the stock a good value play. Whenever the p/e ratio is half of the earnings growth rate it often attracts value buying institutions.

  Going out to 2014, profits are projected to climb 27% to $8.54 a share from the anticipated $6.74 this year.

  NBL should show a significant jump in quarterly profits and an acceleration in growth.

  Profits for the upcoming second quarter are expected to leap 88% to $1.45 a share from 77 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.60 a share.

 The prior two quarters, NBL topped the consensus estimate by a big 21% and 54%. That is impressive!  (see table)

  Going out to the third quarter, net should surge 97% to $1.83 a share from the 93 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is very bullish on NBL. We are targeting the stock for a move to 145 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 117.

  TTD rats NBL a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Fidelity Contrafund with a big 9.7% stake. It has held its position steady. The largest fund buyer recently was 4-star rated American Funds New Perspective Fund which purchased 860,000 shares.

  NBL has 179.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 93% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Extremely Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options around $22. They sold around $111 to $113. Currently, 20 analysts follow the stock, 12 have a buy, down from 14 three months ago.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Noble Energy Inc. - (NBL)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VRX - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CBI - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CFX - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MR - AVERAGE

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

  Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today and all in the gold sector. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Thursday was Infinity Pharmaceuticals (INFI) at 25.21.  It is trading at 24.88 and working well for bears.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Goldcorp Inc. (GG) - 26.21, down 0.68

Net to Fall 20% This Year, TTD Sees Side to 21.50

  GG, based in Vancouver, produces gold. Annual revenues: $5.1 billion. GG's stock falls today as it resumes its down trend undercutting near-term support. Gold stocks have been a bearish group the past 18 months. So far today  GG is trading 7.9 million shares. Its average daily volume is 7.3 million shares.

  TTD highlighted GG as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  GG's stock moved lower in the morning, trended sideways in the afternoon and then late in the day headed lower again.

  The stock's tape action is shown by its recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from $27.14 on Thursday to as low as $26.02 on Friday.

  A key bearish block came in the morning when 96,788 shares crossed the tape at $26.32. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $27.14.

 GG owns the Red Lake Mine which is the largest producing gold mine in Canada.

 The company's other operations include the Wharf Mine, a gold mine located in the Black Hills of South Dakota,  and Saskatchewan Minerals, an industrial minerals operation in Saskatchewan, Canada, which produces natural sodium sulphate used primarily in the detergent industry.

  This year analysts are forecasting a 20% decline in earnings to $1.45 a share from $1.82 the year before.

  Net for the upcoming second quarter should drop 12% and then in the third quarter 35%.

    GG's  daily chart shows the stock trending lower. Today, it undercuts near-term support. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is extremely bearish.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting GG for a drop to 21.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 27.40.

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GG - BELOW AVERAGE

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2013

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)