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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, May 18, 2015

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, May 18, 2015

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 18, 2015

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts from watch list - 2014


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - May 18, 2015


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 19

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls be selective. Stock market remains in near-term up trend.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Synaptics Inc. (SYNA) - 94.37, up 4.14 - Breakpoint 91.12

Hits New High, Net to Jump 32% in Fiscal 2015 (June), TTD Targets 115

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SYNA - ABOVE AVERAGE

     SYNA, based in San Jose, Ca., makes touchpad input devices for mobile communications. Annual revenues: $1.5 billion. SYNA's stock rises sharply Monday and breaks out from a six-week, cup-and-handle base. The move comes on volume of 1.5 million shares, double its average daily volume of 721,000 shares.  

  SYNA shot higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint. (see 10-minute chart).

  The stock then trended sideways the rest of the morning.

  In the early afternoon, SYNA edged up to its intraday peak of 94.62.

  The in trended sideways into the close with some modest profit taking showing up.

  SYNA's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $90.09 in the morning to as high as $94.37 near the close.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,306 shares crossed the tape at $91.25

  That was up from the prior block at $90.09 on 11, 531 shares (duplicated).

  SYNA makes interface solutions for mobile computing and communications devices. It produces TouchPads for the notebook computer market.

 Its other products include the TouchPad input device, TouchStyk pointing stick, Dual Pointing combination input solution, ClearPad touch screen, Spiral pen input solution, and QuickStroke Chinese handwriting software.

  SYNA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 58% versus a 15% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  The performance chart also shows heavy insider selling recently. So, one needs to be very watchful of the stock.

   SYNA's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $12 back in 2006 to a peak of $41 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.

   The stock then pulled back and trended in a trading range for several years - 2008 to 2012. It broke out long-term in 2013 and surged to a peak of  $93.26 in 2014.

   The stock then pulled back. Now , it rallies back to its prior peak. The push to a new high could bring in more buying from the new-high crowd.

  SYNA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around 60 in January to a peak near 91 in April

  It then formed a flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.

  The technical setup was ideal. So, Monday, SYNA breaks out with strong volume and a widening of the daily spread (range from high to low).

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bullish.

 The accumulation - distribution line bottom of chart has hit a new peak indicating good buying during the basing work.

 Analysts are forecasting a 33% jump in SYNA's earnings this fiscal year ending in June to $4.88 a share from $3.67 a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 19. TTD sees that as low given the earnings growth rate. Thus, it is attractive for value-growth investors.

   Looking ahead to fiscal 2016 ending in June, the Street expects a 27% gain in net to $6.19 a share from the anticipated $4.88 this year.

   Profits for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter ending in June should rise a modest 9%. Analysts expect $1.41 a share, up from $1.30 a year ago.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.47 a share. TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise.

   Looking ahead to the fiscal first quarter ending in September, net should soar 102% to $1.62 a share from the 80 cents  a year before.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SYNA for a move to 115 within the next few months.  A protective stop can be placed near 86.

  TTD rates SYNA a good intermediate-term play.

   Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Columbia Seligman Communications & Info Fund with a big 8.4% stake. It was a recent buyer of 25,100 shares.

 The largest fund buyer recently was Cambiar Small Cap Investment Fund which purchased 95,660. The 3-star rated fund has a 0.79% stake.

  SYNA has 36.8 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 90% of the stock and insiders 9%.

   Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $20 to $35. They were sellers at $86 to $89.

  Currently, 15 analysts follow the stock, 13 have a buy, the same as three months ago. SYNA has a book value of $20.33.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Synaptics Inc. - (SYNA)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BOFI  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ALV - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANTM - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PZZA - AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 4

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today. Stock market continues to rally. Bears be conservative. TTD' short from Friday was Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) at 50.93. Today, LVS declines to 50.66 and is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Navient Corp. (NAVI) - 19.10, down 0.06

Second Quarter Net to be Flat, TTD Sees Decline to 15

  NAVI, based in Wilmington, Del. provides financial services dealing with loans. Annual revenues: $2.7 billion. NAVI's stock moves lower Monday to slide below key technical support. So far today, NAVI is trading 2.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2.2 million shares.

  TTD highlighted NAVI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  NAVI's stock declined steadily in the prior session - Friday.  

  Monday the stock touched an intraday low in the morning of 18.94. The stock then trended sideways the rest of the session.

  NAVI's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from as high as $19.16 in the morning to as low as $19.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 100,000 shares crossed the tape at $19.14.

  That was down from the prior block at $19.16 on 14,300 shares.

  NAVI operates in four segments: FFELP Loans, Private Education Loans, Business Services, and other services.

  It provides federal family education loan program  loans and servicing for FFELP loan portfolio.

 The company also acquires, finances, and services private education loans.

  Analysts are forecasting flat net for the second quarter of 56 cents a share. The company came in with net below street estimates in the prior quarter.  For the year, the Street projects a 14% rise in earnings to $2.21 a share from $1.93 a year ago.

  NAVI's daily chart shows the stock sliding below technical support. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower showing clear selling pressure.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NAVI for a decline to 15 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 20.20. TTD rates NAVI a trading short.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NAVI - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)