Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout Stocks - Thursday, May 18, 2017 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 15, 2017 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com. For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Thursday - May 18, 2017
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Quality of Breakouts - Below Average
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Small list of breakouts and extremely selective. Bulls be conservative.
Stock market - Major averages now bearish on a daily basis. Weekly and monthly remain bullish.
Stock Market Momentum
(Based on 14 unit moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish, |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PNTR - AVERAGE |
PNTR, based in Israel, provides of mobile resource management products for the auto, insurance and other mobile tracking markets such as cargo, shipping and containers. Annual revenues: $64.4 million. PNTR drives higher Thursday and breaks out from a 12-week flat base.
So far today, PNTR is trading a heavy 141,520 shares - well above its average daily volume of 5.4 million shares.
PNTR came in with first quarter net of 29 cents a share topping the Street estimate of 21 cents a share. Revenues rose 28%.
TTD highlighted PNTR as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
PNTR's stock gapped higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line. (see 10-minute chart).
The stock reached a peak of $10.60 around midday.
It then trended sideways into the close.
Tape Action
PNTR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $9.35 in the prior session to as high as $10.50 Thursday.
A key bullish trade came near the opening when a block of 2,500 shares crossed the tape at $10.10.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $9.35 on 4,660 shares.
Business
PNTR offers roadside assistance services, automobile repair and towing services, stolen vehicle recovery (SVR) and other services.
Its Cellocator unit makes asset tracking, fleet management and security products.
Through the MRM segment, the company acts as an operator in Israel, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico and South Africa by bundling its products together with a range of MRM services, including fleet management, asset tracking services and SVR services.
The firm provides services for emergency repair for sale to automotive and insurance companies and car sharing services.
Charts
PNTR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 45% the past 12 months versus a gain of 17% for the stock market.
Insider activity was not available.
PNTR's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $2.50 back in 2012 to a peak at $13.22 in 2014.
The stock then trended sideways in a long-term basing pattern. The push higher Thursday enables the stock to breakout from its long-term pattern. That is bullish.
PNTR's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $7 back in January to around $9.50 by March.
The stock then put down a tight flat base.
The breakout Thursday is impressive coming with a gap move and expanding volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 13% increase in net to 88 cents a share from 78 cents the year before. That estimate could be boosted.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 11. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.
Going out to 2018, net is expected to be up 26% to $1.11 a share from the anticipated 88 cents this year.
For the upcoming second quarter, profits are expected to surge 39% to 25 cents a share from 18 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PNTR for a move to $13.50 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near $9.20.
TTD rates PNTR a good intermediate-term play.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Above Average - PNTR has racked up some nice gains off its breakouts at times. The stock is now in an intermediate-term up trend.
Probability - Earnings Response - Above Average - PNTR has moved higher 9 out of the past 11 earnings reports where there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Above Average - PNTR has posted a 6.6% average gain in May.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
12% |
2/28/2017 | 8.52 | 9.55 | 3/5/2017 |
22% |
1/20/2017 | 7.78 | 9.55 | 3/5/2017 |
6% |
4/4/2016 | 6.37 | 6.76 | 4/6/2016 |
91% | 11/18/2013 | 6.57 | 12.55 | 1/9/2014 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Pointer Telocation Ltd. - (PNTR) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HSY - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IMMU - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FBIO - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 14
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Larges lit of breakdown stocks with several in the medical sector. Bears be conservative.
TTD's short from Wednesday was American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) at $11.05. Thursday, AEO declines to $10.88 and is working well for bears.
NLNK, based in Ames, Iowa, is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company focused on developing immunotherapeutic products to treat cancer. Annual revenues: $68.5 million. NLNK's stock falls sharply Thursday undercutting key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, NLNK is trading a heavy 1.9 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 579,000 shares.
NLNK's gapped lower in the morning and touched an intraday low of $13.90. In aftermarket trading, the day before the stock was as low as $12.50.
The stock then lifted to around $15 and trended mostly sideways after the morning drop.
Tape Action
NLNK's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $16.10 late the day before to as low as $13.98 on Thursday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 13,800 shares crossed the tape at $14.21.
That was down from the prior block trade at $15.17 on 12,189 shares.
Business
NLNK's portfolio includes biologic and small-molecule immunotherapy product candidates for a range of oncology problems.
Its biologic product candidates are based on its HyperAcute Cellular Immunotherapy technology, which is designed to stimulate the human immune system to attack cancer cells.
Earnings:
This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of $2.70 a share compared with a loss of $2.94 the year before.
Going out to 2018, they predict a loss of $2.51 a share compared with the anticipated loss of $2.70 this year.
Charts:
NLNK's daily chart shows the stock slicing below key technical support near $15 with a big pick up in volume.
NLNK's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 47% versus an 18% gain for the stock market.
However, the stock has been trending sharply lower in performance the past few months.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NLNK for a decline to $11 within the next few months or sooner.
A protective stop buy can be placed near $15.50.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's special probability research of stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Average. NLNK rose 5 out of the past 11 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Bearish`. NLNK declined an average of 6.9% in May the past several years. It was up 12.2% in June.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NLNK - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)