Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday. May 19, 2014

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, May 19,  2014

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - May 19, 2014

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small and selective. Stock market still in trading range. Bulls be patient and selective.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Saia Inc. (SAIA) - 42.91, up 0.98 - Breakpoint 42.27

Net to Climb 28% This Year, TTD Targets 52

    SAIA Inc., based in Johns Creek, Ga., is a trucking firm. Annual revenues:$1.1 billion. SAIA's stock breaks out today from a 5-week, flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. The base was formed above a prior flat base - a base on top of a base. So far today, SAIA is trading 211,422 shares. Its average daily volume is 250,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted SAIA as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  SAIA's 10-minute chart shows the stock cutting across its breakpoint line in the morning.

  The stock peaked around 43.10 in the morning. It then trended sideways into the afternoon.

  Then late in the session the stock advanced strong to finish near its high for the session. That is bullish.

  SAIA's tape action shows the recent big block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $41.36 in the prior session to as high as $43.38 on Monday.

  A key bullish trade came when a block of 14,172 shares crossed the tape at $41.93 (duplicated).

. That was up sharply from the prior block at $41.36 on 1,947 shares on Friday.  

   The company provides less-than-truckload, non-asset truckload, expedited and logistics services across the United States.

  SAIA operates a network of 150 service facilities.

 The average Saia LTL Freight shipment weighed 1,376 pounds and traveled an average distance of 741 miles.

  SAIA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 35% versus a 13% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  There was strong insider buying in February just when the price of SAIA began to outperform the S&P 500.

  SAIA's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2002 and trading around 5. The stock advanced to a high of 24 in 2006.

  The stock then fell back the next two years due in part to the bear market. It touched a low around 5 in 2008 - a round trip.

  However, the stock then spent the next three years in a trading range. It broke out in 2012 and has since driven ahead to 43, an eightfold move.

  SAIA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 30 back in February to a peak near 40 in early March.

  The stock then put down a base and broke out. However, it did not get far and paused to form a new base.

  Today, it breaks out of the smaller flat base built on the prior base.

  SAIA's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a solid up trend that compliments the price action. It shows good underlying buying.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 28% gain in earnings to $2.16 a share from $1.69 a year ago.

  They recently lifted their estimate.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  18. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Going out to 2015, the Street projects a 242% increase in net to $2.68 a share from $2.16 anticipated this year.

  For the second quarter, analysts are forecasting a 24% gain in earnings to 67 cents a share from 54 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 71 cents a share.

  Looking out to the third quarter profits should jump 31% - an acceleration in quarterly earnings growth. The Street looks for 67 cents a share, up from 51 cents a year before.  

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SAIA for a move to 52 within the next few months, or sooner.  That is up from a prior target of 48. A protective stop can be placed near 40 after a breakout.

  TTD rates SAIA an average intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. A key fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Meridian Growth Legacy Fund which purchased  314,626 shares. It is the largest fund holder with a 2.8% stake.

  Also, the 4-star rated Oppenheimer Main Street Small Cap VA. Svc Fund was a recent purchaser of 228,470 shares. It has a 1% stake.

  SAIA has 24.7 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 99% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders have been getting stock options from $4 to $7 a share. They have been sellers from $31 to $41. Currently, 6 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, up from 3 three months ago.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 2

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Just two short plays today. Bears be patient and selective. Stock market remains in trading range.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Methanex Corp. (MEOH) - 58.98, down 1.22

Stock Slides Below Support, TTD Sees Drop to 52

  MEOH, based in Vancouver, produces methanol, a chemical used to consumer and energy products.  Annual revenues: $3 billion. MEOH's stock slides below key technical support today to set off a TTD short play. So far today, MEOH is trading 723,914 shares. Its average daily volume  is 955,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

 TTD highlighted MEOH as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  MEOH's stock fell steadily in the morning and hit an intraday low of 58.87. The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.

  MEOH's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from $61.40 a few sessions ago to as low as $59.10 on Monday.

  A key bearish trade came when a block of 5,000 shares crossed in the morning at $59.49.

  That was down from  the prior block at $60.86 on 5,832 shares (duplicated.

  MEOH's daily chart shows the stock falling back from 74 in early March to around 60. Today, the stock cuts below key support. The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has now turned bearish.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 43% jump in profits. Net for the second quarter should increase 26%.

   Strategy Opinion:  TTD sees MEOH as a trading short. We are targeting MEOH for a decline to 52 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop can be placed near 61.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)