Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Swng - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Friday - July 23, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts - 12
Quality of Breakouts - Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some good looking plays.
Stock market - Major averages are bullish in all time sectors.
Comment - Stock market in a basing pattern. Earnings will continue to pour in now. Bulls be alert.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - PBIP, FCCY, FHB, TMP and ACBI.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SKX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
SKX, based in Manhattan Beach, Ca., sells Skecher brand footwear. Annual revenues: $4.6 billion. SKX's stock moves sharply higher Friday and breaks out from its 14-week, flat base.
So far today, SKX is trading 5 million shares, about four times its average daily volume of 1.3 million shares.
TTD sees more on the upside. TTD featured SKX as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
SKX's stock broke out in the morning. The stock reached an intraday high in the morning at $55.87.
It dipped back to $52.40 in the morning, but rallied back to around $55 and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
In after-hours trading SKX was down 22 cents a share.
Tape Action
SKX's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks rising from $53.31 in the morning to as high as $55.12.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,124 shares crossed the tape at $54.
That was up from the prior block at $53.31 on 9,094 shares/
Near the close a massive block of 167,611 shares crossed at $54.22.
That was up from the prior block at $54.17 on 5,712 shares.
Business
SKX sells footwear for men, women and children, and performance footwear for men and women.
It also offers apparel, accessories, eyewear, scrubs and other merchandise.
It sells its footwear in department and independent stores, as well as through its Skechers retail stores and online.
Its products are available in 170 countries through its network of subsidiaries in Asia, Europe, Canada, Central America and South America.
Charts
SKX's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 78% versus a 35% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed.
They were sellers at $34 to $49 a share.
SKX's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $18.81 in 2016 to a peak at $43 by early 2018.
The stock then traded in a range. It touched a low of $17.06 in early 2020 when the stock market fell sharply.
SKX then rallied strongly to $54.
SKX's daily chart shows the stock rising from $37 in March to a peak near $52 in April
The stock then trended sideways in a flat base.
Friday, SKX gaps higher with expanding volume to clear its base.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts predict a 228% leap in net to $2.10 a share from the 64 cents the prior year.
The stock has a price-earnings ratio 25. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to 2022, the Street projects a 24% jump in net to $2.61 a share from the anticipated $2.10 this year.
Net for the third quarter should be up 15% to 61 cents a share from 53 cents the previous year.
Then in the fourth quarter net should jump 33% to 32 cents a share from 24 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SKX for a move to $64 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $51
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
SKX scored big gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
SKX rose 11 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
SKX avg. loss 3.5% in Aug., rose 2.2% in Sept. prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
SKX beat Street net estimate 12 times after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
32% |
3/15/2021 | 39.18 | 51.90 | 4/23/2021 |
148% |
2/12/2015 | 21.50 | 53.43 | 8/5/2015 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RHI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CSL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DECK - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANET - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 11
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large list of shorts. Aggressive bears can be venturesome.
DAO, based in China, produces learning content for schools. Annual revenues: $3.2 billion Chinese Yen. DAO's stock falls sharply Friday and undercuts key technical support.
So far today, DAO is trading a heavy 2 million shares , six times its average daily volume of 293,000 shares.
TTD sees more on the downside even though DAO is extended to the downside.
DAO's stock fell in the morning and undercut key technical support.
The stock then trended sideways for most of the day and was unable to rally effectively.
In after-hours trading DAO was up 41 cents a share.
Tape Action
DAO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $17 a shares down to $12.60 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a big block of 61,150 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $13.39.
That was down from the prior block at $17 on 4,600 shares.
Business
DAO develops learning content for education of students of all ages.
The company has two units.
The learning services segment offers online courses, including the Youdao Premium Courses, NetEase Cloud Classroom and China University MOOC.
The online marketing services provides different forms of advertising for marketing.
Earnings:
This year, the Street predicts a loss of $2.72 a share against a loss of $2.32 the prior year.
Then in 2022, analysts expect a loss of $1.66 a share.
Charts:
DAO's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $40 earlier this year down to $19.
The stock tried to form a bottom, but now gaps lower with heavy volume.
DAO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 65% versus a 35% gain for the stock market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting DAO for a decline to $10.20 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $13.50.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Neutral |
DOA rose 3 times after 6 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
DAO loss avg 29.7% in Aug, 13% in Sept prior years. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DAO - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)