Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Swng - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Monday - August 16, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts - 4
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Small list of breakouts but some good looking plays.
Stock market - Major averages remain bullish in all time sequences.
Comment - Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market still holds up trend, but needs to be watched closely.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - SWKH and INLX.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AAPL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AAPL, based in Cupertino, Ca., makes cell phones and computers. Annual revenues: $275 billion. AAPL, a leading stock, breaks out Monday from its 6-week, flat base.
The move carries AAPL to a new all-time high. The stock has made a sevenfold move since 2014.
TTD sees potential for more on the upside.
So far today, AAPL is trading 103.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 68 million shares.
AAPL's stock fell in the morning and touched an intraday low of $146.47.
The stock turned and rallied to a peak at $151.68 in the afternoon. .
The stock then trended sideways into the close finishing with a good gain.
In after-hours trading AAPL was up 56 cents a share.
Tape Action
AAPL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $146.81 in the morning to a peak at $151.12 by the close.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 35,260 shares crossed the tape at $150.35.
That was up from the prior block at $148.60 on 630,205 shares
Near the close a massive block of 4.2 million shares crossed at $151.12 (duplicated).
That was up from the prior block at $151 on 111,814 shares.
Business
AAPL makes mobile communication products, personal computers and portable digital music players.
The company also sells software, networking solutions, and third-party digital content and applications.
The company services the Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan and Asia Pacific.
Its products and services include iPhone, iPad, Mac, iPod, Apple Watch, Apple TV, a portfolio of consumer and professional software.
Charts
AAPL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 33% versus a 33% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers using stock options. The price was not disclosed.
They were sellers at $113 to $145.99.
AAPL's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $22 in 2016 to a peak at $58 in 2018.
The stock based and then broke out in late 2019 and has since surged to $151.
It recently had a 4-1 stock split.
AAPL's daily chart shows the stock advancing from $120 in March to a peak at $149.88 in July.
The stock formed a tight flat base.
APPL now breaks out with a widening of the daily spread and expanding volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This fiscal year ending in September the Street predicts a 70% jump in net to $5.59 a share from the $3.28 the prior year.
Looking out to fiscal 2022 ending in September, net should be up a modest 2% to $5.70 a share from the anticipated $5.59 this fiscal year.
Net for the fiscal fourth quarter ending in September should surge 68% to $1.23 a share from the 73 cents the prior year.
Then in the fiscal first quarter net should rise 13% to $1.90 a share from the $1.68 the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AAPL for a move to $175 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $145
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
AAPL scored some big gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
AAPL rose 11 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
AAPL avg. gain 10.9% in Aug., loss 2.5% in Sept. prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
AAPL beat Street net estimate 19 times after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
14% |
12/21/2020 | 125.55 | 142.92 | Still in play |
63% |
6/5/2020 | 81.84 | 134.18 | 9/1/2020 |
45% |
10/7/2019 | 55.03 | 80.36 | 2/5/2020 |
18% |
10/29/2018 | 48.68 | 57.32 | 10/2/2018 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IQV - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BLK - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PSA - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 8
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large list of shorts with some interesting plays for aggressive bears.
AI, based in Redwood City, Ca., produces artificial intelligence software. Annual revenues: $183 million. AI's stock falls sharply Monday and undercuts key technical support.
So far today, AI is trading a heavy 3.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.7 million shares.
TTD sees more on the downside. TTD highlighted AI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
AI's stock fell in the morning undercutting key technical support.
The stock touched an intraday low of $45.90 in the morning.
It lifted to $47.70 later in the morning and then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
In after-hours trading AI was up 7 cents a share.
Tape Action
AI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $49.38 in the prior session to as low as $46 later in the morning.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 26,338 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $48.82.
That was down from the prior block at $49.38 on 20,877 shares in the prior session.
Business
AI is an artificial intelligence software company.
It provides software-as-a-service application that enables deployment of enterprise-scale applications.
Its C3 AI Suite is an end-to-end platform-as-a-service allowing customers to design and operate enterprise AI applications.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in April of 2022, analysts predict a loss of $1.12 a share compared with a loss of 90 cents the prior year.
Going out to fiscal 2023 ending in April, the Street expects a loss of $1.01 a share.
For the upcoming fiscal first quarter ending in July a loss of 32 cents a share is projected.
Charts:
AI's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key support and dropping to $45.90 in the morning.
The stock then lifted to around $47.72 and then trended sideways until late afternoon when it faded a bit.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AI for a decline to $40 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $49.50.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
AI fell 1 time after 1 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
AI lost avg 7.4% in Aug. prior years. |
Earnings Beats |
Neutral |
AI beat Street estimate 1 time after 2 reports. |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AI - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)